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Home » Elliott Wave Analysis of Natural Gas Nymex
Natural Gas

Elliott Wave Analysis of Natural Gas Nymex

RamkiBy RamkiOctober 10, 201110 Comments1 Min Read
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About ten days ago I posted an hourly chart of NYMEX Natural Gas, and suggested that perhaps we were unfolding in a diagonal triangle. I also went out of the way to suggest that it was unlikely that we were in the middle of a ‘third of a third’ wave because typically such a position would require a fast paced sell off. To put it mildly, that was two mistakes in one post! Prices have continued to edge lower, and the bearishness is only getting more pronounced. While there are still some valid arguments against the 3rd of 3rd count, in the spirit of what WaveTimes has long stood for, ie what matters is not your count, but whether you were right in the direction, I have to concede that I got it wrong this time.

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View 10 Comments

10 Comments

  1. Khalid on October 10, 2011 1:35 pm

    For me wave 4 was a clear triangle that ended where you were counting as wave 2 of 5 and we are now in wave 3 of 5 of 5 in the post triangle thrust were we can calculate the target based on Fibonacci and the triangle range

    Reply
  2. osaki on October 10, 2011 6:36 pm

    this even makes you a greater trader, love your work more and more please dont stop this valuable advice you give each time, thanks a million!

    Reply
  3. Rajeev Juneja on October 10, 2011 8:44 pm

    Ramko Sir : As Osaki too states if a stalwart like you has hinted to a probable mistake then you are truely a great trader and more so a wonderful human being. Elliot has this shade of confusion with everyone.

    Reply
  4. Arvind Damarla on October 20, 2011 5:38 am

    Hi Ramki

    Great site. Here is a long term count of NG that I put together. You might find it helpful in clarifying the short term. Let me know what you think.

    elliottwavecounts.blogspot.com/2011/10/natural-gas-setup-ng-and-long-term.html

    Arvind

    Reply
  5. drjlbansal on December 11, 2011 5:58 am

    kindly update NG chart.

    Reply
  6. miro on January 11, 2012 2:39 pm

    Dear Ramki,

    Could you please comment again on Natural Gas

    THX
    Miro

    Reply
  7. Karan Chetan on March 17, 2012 6:12 pm

    Hi Ramki,

    Natural gas has made a decade low recently (2.204) and I am very interested to know if we are seeing a long term or mid term bottom forming. Also, I notice that natural gas prices move up when stock markets go down (eg.2008)

    Please comment on where you think the price is headed in the next few weeks.

    Sincerely,

    Karan

    Reply
    • Ramki on March 18, 2012 3:50 am

      Hello Karan, Thanks for your comments. I am still not comfortable with the price action and wouldn’t be surprised if it fails to sustain any recovery. Be patient for the first proper sings of a bull market to emerge and then get involved. While it is dropping, just keep thinking it will continue the trend and stay out.By the way, WaveTimes is not geared to offer any trading advice. Sorry.

      Reply
  8. Natural Gas Stock on March 22, 2012 9:52 pm

    Great post. Personally, I have been following natural gas stokcs for the last few weeks and I see a lot of potential over this coming decade or so. The commodity natural gas is about 10x cheaper than right now, but stock gurus are saying that by the year 2016 we’ll start to see natural gas prices jump because of increasing demand and high oil prices. Ive also been following much smaller energy companies too such as Alon U.S. Energy Partners, whose stock soared nearly 56% in a 2 week stretch.

    Reply
    • Ramki on March 22, 2012 10:23 pm

      Hi Picou, The last time I looked at natural gas was Sep 2011 & I got it wrong! Thanks for writing

      Reply

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